Exits
Every trade's stop loss and take profit next to what actually happened, and what sticking to the plan would have changed.
18 trades were closed beyond the planned stop. Getting out at the stop would have lost $9,370 less (before slippage). On 10 more, price traded through your target after you had already exited: $1,179 left on the table.
- Target hit rateof 179 trades with a stop and a target
- 28%
- Average planned R:R
- 1.68 : 1
- Average realizedNet result per trade in units of planned risk
- −0.01R
- Break-even hit rateNeeded at your average R:R if every loss is −1R
- 37%
- Trades with no stop
- 15
Exits within 0.1R of a level count as at that level. Run-up and drawdown come from 1-minute bars after entry: hindsight about the path, not an exit anyone could have known in advance.
By setup
Is the plan realistic for each setup?| Setup | Trades | Target hit | Stopped | Past stop | Planned R:R | Realized | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Reversion Fade | 99 | 23% | 37% | 17% | 1.72 : 1 | −0.41R | −$9,776 |
| Opening Range Breakout | 50 | 44% | 30% | 0% | 2 : 1 | +0.96R | +$11,723 |
| Momentum Chase | 29 | 17% | 17% | 3% | 1 : 1 | −0.17R | −$3,866 |
| Late-Day Fade | 16 | 19% | 56% | 0% | 1.2 : 1 | −0.42R | −$1,169 |
Every trade
15 shown- AMD long · Oct 9, 11:00−$90Cut loss before stop153.16 → 152.94SL 152.62 · TP 154.24−0.43R
- SPY short · Oct 7, 15:33−$105Cut loss before stop554.47 → 555.50SL 556.13 · TP 552.48−0.63R
- AAPL long · Oct 7, 11:39−$364Cut loss before stop228.96 → 228.62SL 227.59 · TP 230.33−0.26R
- META short · Oct 6, 11:54−$114Cut loss before stop462.56 → 463.49SL 463.69 · TP 460.3−0.84R
- AAPL short · Sep 18, 15:47−$63Cut loss before stop195.90 → 196.10SL 196.49 · TP 195.19−0.36R
- NVDA short · Sep 16, 14:00−$217Cut loss before stop114.96 → 115.06SL 115.65 · TP 114.27−0.16R
- NVDA long · Sep 16, 13:13−$36Cut loss before stop114.67 → 114.61SL 114.27 · TP 115.27−0.17R
- AAPL long · Sep 15, 13:11−$343Cut loss before stop219.54 → 219.21SL 218.22 · TP 220.86−0.26R
- NVDA short · Sep 2, 12:01−$920Cut loss before stop120.94 → 121.43SL 121.67 · TP 120.21−0.68R
- META long · Aug 20, 15:47−$81Cut loss before stop480.53 → 479.87SL 479.09 · TP 482.26−0.47R
- SPY short · Aug 3, 13:40−$159Cut loss before stop538.27 → 539.70SL 540.15 · TP 535.45−0.77R
- TSLA long · Jul 27, 13:07−$66Cut loss before stop268.47 → 268.18SL 267.81 · TP 269.79−0.45R
- SPY short · Jul 27, 10:52−$54Cut loss before stop537.07 → 537.54SL 538.39 · TP 535.49−0.37R
- SPY short · Jul 14, 14:12−$764Cut loss before stop570.64 → 572.45SL 574.06 · TP 567.22−0.53R
- SPY short · Jul 14, 13:22−$157Cut loss before stop567.43 → 568.98SL 570.41 · TP 561.47−0.53R
“vs plan” is what sticking to the stop or target would have changed: for exits past the stop, the extra loss; for exits before a target that price later traded through, the profit left. Run-up and drawdown are the best and worst open P&L in R while the trade was on.
